It
represents the first major breakthrough in relations with the Islamic Republic
since the 1979 revolution and is a step towards bringing it back as a full
member of the community of nations.
It
is also confirmation of the more conciliatory approach of President Hasan Rowhani
since he took over from the mercurial Mahmoud Ahmadinejad earlier this year.
Rowhani is a man the West can deal with in a way that was never possible with
his predecessor.
There
remains the obstacle of Israel, which immediately denounced the accord, Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu saying that it was a bad agreement, giving Iran a relaxation
of the sanctions imposed on it, while still allowing it to pursue its nuclear
program.
In
essence, Netanyahu’s statement is correct. Any final resolution will leave Iran
with a nuclear capability, but only for peaceful purposes. There are plenty of
countries around the globe in similar positions – Japan and Germany to name
just two.
This
will not satisfy Netanyahu whose sees anything less than a total dismantling of
Iran’s nuclear program as containing a latent threat that Teheran could at some
time in the future upgrade its capability to produce a bomb that would then
threaten Israeli cities. His stand is totally unacceptable to Teheran and the
negotiating powers know it.
Any
final deal will have to include strong and continuing verification procedures to
ensure that Iran is keeping to its part of the bargain – that its nuclear
program is designed purely to improve the living standards of its people, by
reducing domestic dependence on fossil fuels, leaving the country able to
export more of its abundant reserves of oil.
It
won’t satisfy the current Government in Jerusalem which will certainly be
exerting pressure on the Israeli lobby in the United States Congress to scupper
the deal. President Barak Obama, who has been seeking this agreement since the
early months of his Administration, needs to stand firm.
Failure
now would be a crippling blow to the Rowhani moderates in the Iranian
Government and likely take the country back on to a more confrontational path.
The West simply cannot afford another 30 years of an Israel-Iran stand-off
complicating the issues in an already dangerously turbulent region.
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