Friday, May 28, 2021

Populism in the pandemic: Wounded but not dead

Has the pandemic sounded the death knell for Populism as a political movement? You would like to think so given the disastrous response of Populist leaders to COVID-19 around the world.

However, the fact remains that in the second year of this virus, most Populist leaders who were there at its beginning remain in power, and in many cases still retain a solid basis of support.

In Brazil, Jair Bolsonaro still draws a crowd; Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s hold on Turkey is as firm as ever; the United Kingdom’s Boris Johnson’s position of strength was confirmed in a recent by-election victory.

The one casualty, of course, has been Donald Trump in the United States, but his dismal performance was so destructive even fellow Populists around the world were scrambling to distance themselves from him.

From claiming that COVID-19 would end “like magic” to blaming it all on the Chinese, then the Democrats, peddling fake remedies, and discouraging the wearing of masks, Trump lurched from one disaster to another as the world’s richest nation chalked up infection and death tolls that rivalled the poorest and least prepared in the Third World.

Yet for all that, it took a massive effort by the opposition to dislodge him. At last year’s election, Trump polled higher than any Republican candidate in history. Fortunately, Joe Biden’s Democrats also broke records. Even so, Trump’s support base remains intact, many nursing the totally unfounded belief that the election was somehow stolen from their candidate.

There is also one aspect of Populist theory that has been strengthened by the pandemic — the suspicion, if not outright hostility to globalisation.

In Australia it has become apparent in our own backyard, with State Premiers making constant references to keeping “Queenslanders” or “Western Australians” safe. We have had disparaging references to “Eastern Staters” and endless eulogies as to how one part of the country was doing so much better than the poor saps in others. Through it all, the references to Australians or Australia were few and far between.

Except of course when it came to closing our borders to the rest of the world, even to the point of threatening desperate citizens overseas who might try to breach ‘Fortress Australia’. Attempts to repatriate Australians stranded in other countries by the pandemic have been spasmodic and inadequate. There are still thousands who cannot find a way home after many months of trying.

The pandemic has exposed Populism to what it has always been — easy answers to complex questions which in the end prove to be now answers at all. Even so, the demagogues and rabble rousers, muted for the time being, have not gone away. In many cases they still hold the levers of power, unrepentant and ready to take up the cause again in more propitious times.

A post-pandemic world, struggling to choose between reaffirming the old ways and adapting to the new ones, could be fertile ground for those wishing to assail the existing order while conveniently fudging what they wish to put in its place.