What a
wonderful time to be a dictator.
Vladimir
Putin and Xi Jinping will be reviewing the world with some satisfaction this
Easter. Their rivals are in disarray, democracy everywhere is under challenge,
while their own power and influence is expanding.
The United
States, once the unchallenged superpower, is led by a president who makes war
on his own people; who purges his staff at the first sign of any disagreement
and promotes his own family with a ruthless efficiency not seen since the days
of the Borgia Popes.
Obsessed
with internal issues such as ending migration, and continually lashing out at
those who would question him, President Donald Trump’s ventures into foreign
policy have only underlined his ineffectiveness.
Much
heralded summits with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un have done nothing except
boost Kim’s standing on the international stage.
Despite a
barrage of threats, Nicolas Maduro is still firmly in place as President of Venezuela,
while his US backed opponent, Juan Guaido remains in limbo.
Moving the
Israeli Embassy to Jerusalem and recognising the country’s annexation of the
Golan Heights has destroyed any hope of a two-state solution to the
long-running Middle East crisis and wrecked Washington’s reputation through
much of the Arab world.
Repudiating
the Iran nuclear deal has done nothing to blunt the Islamic Republic’s support
for dissident groups throughout the region.
Having
engineered the collapse of American international influence, Trump’s domestic
agenda is in tatters.
As the
country gears up for another election next year, the wall on the Mexican border
has not been built, much less paid for by Mexico, illegal immigration continues
at high levels, jobs have not been repatriated.
Yet
incredibly, Trump’s support base has suffered little, with many voters
insisting, even in the face of overwhelming evidence, that he is a man “who
does what he says”.
In Beijing
and in the Kremlin there is growing hope that Trump might actually win a second
term, and plans are no doubt being made to help him along that path.
Putin and
Xi might also look with some optimism at the European Union, beleaguered with a
Brexit crisis that seems likely to go into a fourth year, still grappling with
an influx of refugees, largely of Putin’s making, and with the possibility of a
new surge of migrants as Libya descends into civil war.
The EU has
been distracted and weakened by the United Kingdom’s long-running departure,
while the distinct possibility of a no-deal ‘Global Britain’ cast adrift and
friendless, will present more intriguing possibilities for both dictators.
Meanwhile
Xi’s Belt and Road initiative is drawing more countries into its orbit, and may
even make headway in Europe, while Putin now has a firm foothold in the Middle
East having rescued his Syrian ally, and will have high hope of advancing its
cause further in Ukraine and other countries of its ‘near abroad’.
No doubt
about it: Authoritarianism is in this year.
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