Kirby,
who heads a special United Nations inquiry into North Korean crimes against
humanity, released a report earlier this year in which he said the regime’s top
officials, including the 31-year-old Supreme Leader, Kim Jong-un, should be
brought before the International Criminal Court (ICC) to answer for their
misdeeds.
While
there is no chance that anyone from the Pyongyang regime will voluntarily
present themselves at the Hague, Kirby has followed this up with a call at a UN
meeting for targeted sanctions against individuals most responsible for the abuses
which, he said, included summary executions, enslavements and sexual violence.
The
response from North Korea, presented via the country’s official news agency,
was in keeping with its regular use of extravagant language, describing Kirby’s
report as “a frantic racket aimed at tarnishing the image of the dignified
Democratic People’s Republic of Korea” and “bringing down the ideology and
social system chosen by the Korean people in the long run’’.
The
question is what to do next? Emma Campbell, a Korea expert at the Australian
National University College of Asia and the Pacific, believes the West’s
options are limited.
Dr
Campbell points out that the North is already subject to strict sanctions
through its refusal to abandon its nuclear weapons program, and that an even
greater crackdown would probably hurt the general population more than its
leaders.
Military
action would run the risk of devastation on the Korean Peninsula and beyond,
while China would almost certainly block referral to the ICC by using its veto
in the Security Council.
Dr
Campbell puts her faith in more people-to-people engagements in the areas of
culture, sport, government and economics, coupled with increased humanitarian
aid “to improve the lives of the North Korean population and empower them to
bring about change on their own terms”.
While
this may be effective elsewhere in the world, Dr Campbell has made the mistake
of underestimating the utter ruthlessness of the Pyongyang regime and the
lengths to which it will go to preserve its hold on power.
She
is not alone. I have previously expressed the hope Kim, who received part of
his education in the West, might be a liberalising influence – I was hopelessly
wrong.
Instead,
the young man has proved himself to be in the best Stalinist traditions by
liquidating anyone who might prove to be a challenge to his rule, including his
close relations – his aunt appears to be the latest victim.
I
fear that any increased humanitarian aid would simply be channelled to reward the
regime’s closest supporters, including the million-strong armed forces.
As
Kirby states, virtually the only option will be targeted sanctions against
individuals, but even these will be mitigated if China chooses to ignore them.
Beyond that lies the possibility of support for internal dissidents to destabilise
the regime – something Russian President Vladimir Putin is employing all
too successfully in Ukraine – if indeed there are any dissidents left that have
escaped the regime’s attention.
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