Those of us who have travelled and lived long enough to experience
democratic government in all its forms can only be recoiling in horror at the
events of recent months.
I do not directly refer to impeachment proceedings against a United
States President; or to the convolutions of a minority Government in the United
Kingdom. Unsettling as they are there have been precedents.
What must concern anyone who believes in government of, for and by the
people are the antics of those we have placed in these positions of power and
the effect it could have, not just on us, but on those nations who in the past looked
up to and respected our systems and
tried to emulate them.
As well as for those, trapped and oppressed by authoritarian regimes,
who might have clung to the faint hope that our example might eventually result
in a change.
How the autocrats must rejoice at the events in London and Washington – a
Prime Minister who defies the law; a President who tears up international
treaties and tips the bucket on his allies.
The dictators would see this as overwhelming justification for strong and
inflexible leadership, keeping an iron grip on their populations as an
inoculation against the infection of individualism and democracy creating such
havoc in the so called Free World.
US President Donald Trump and UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson have both
backed themselves into corners of their own making. Johnson’s intransience will
hurt his own country and damage the European Union, but the real danger lies
with Trump.
An erratic and unstable US President who tweets about his “great and
unmatched wisdom” has at his disposal matchless economic and military might.
Already during his presidency we have heard threats to consume North Korea in
fire, to obliterate Iran from the map and lately, to destroy the Turkish
economy.
Should impeachment fail, which is likely in a highly politicised Senate
trial, Trump may yet go on to win the 2020 presidential election. Even though
the polls are against him, he can still rely on the antiquated Electoral
College system to get him over the line — remember that in 2016 he lost the
popular vote by some three million, but still won handily in the College.
Yet what if he did lose? This would leave him still in the White House with
full presidential powers for more than two months between Election Day and the
inauguration of his successor, the so-called lame duck period.
Might he decide to sign off with a dramatic gesture? Cataclysmic revenge
on some of the enemies, or countries that have dared to defy him over the
previous four years?
If so, who would stop him? The US Constitution, designed in a
slow-moving, pre-technological age when it was assumed that those in leadership
positions were always going to be reasonable men who played by the rules, is
silent on the subject.
Asking these questions would have been unthinkable three years ago, but
that was another time; a different world.
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