China is emerging stronger than ever from
what seemed to be a significant setback to its insistence that most of the
South China Sea is its sovereign territory.
Less than a month after the International Court of
Arbitration, sitting in The Hague, ruled unequivocally that it had no legal
basis for its claim to control the maritime area and the islands and reefs
within it, Beijing is carrying on as if the decision was never made.
It was initially buoyed by the surprising soft
reaction from Washington with American Secretary of State John Kerry urging
that the impasse be solved by negotiation between China and the aggrieved
nations that border the South China Sea, including Vietnam, the Philippines and
Indonesia.
This is exactly what China has been advocating for
years. However, it has a unique idea of ‘negotiation’ in which it puts its case
and everyone accepts it.
While the Government in Manila has sought to play
down the United States’ stance, the feeling on the streets is that the Philippines,
which brought the case to The Hague, has been hung out to dry and will now have
no choice other than to acquiesce to the Chinese position which claims waters
to within a few kilometres of the country’s coast.
In a recent meeting of the Association of South
East Asian Nations in Laos, China was able to bully enough members of the
10-nation bloc, many of which are dependent on it for economic aid, into simply
ignoring the issue.
It has been careful to watch its back with its giant
neighbour, India, avoiding a possible flashpoint over the expulsion of three of
its journalists accused of “irregular activities” by issuing a rare admission
that they were in the wrong.
Having secured its position among its immediate
neighbours, Beijing turned the blowtorch on Australia which had called on China
to respect the decision of the International Court.
A ringing denouncement of Canberra’s position was
issued in an editorial in the Communist Party’s ‘unofficial’ newspaper, Global Times in which Australia was
described as a “paper cat with an inglorious history” whose actions could be ignored.
This came at the same time as the Foreign Ministry
issued a statement more or less telling Canberra to “behave itself”.
Then came a ploy that Beijing has used before,
ordering its students studying in Australia onto the streets in Melbourne for a
demonstration supporting its stance.
In yet another flexing of its muscle, Beijing has
tightened the screws on Hong Kong, ordering that anyone intending to stand in
the forthcoming Legislative Council elections there must sign a declaration
pledging allegiance to the Basic Law, especially the articles that state the
city is an inseparable part of China.
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