In a year when most rational commentators agree the United
Kingdom should be concentrating its efforts on economic growth and the
reduction of unemployment, it appears that the country is set for yet another chapter
in its interminable debate on European membership.
Prime Minister David Cameron set the scene in a BBC
interview in which he said he was “entitled and enabled” to seek a repatriation
of powers from the European Union when other countries sought changes in their
obligations in order to make the euro work more effectively.
He also foreshadowed that long-running goal of the right
wing in British politics – a referendum on whether the United Kingdom remains
within the EU - while repeating the mantra of Conservative leaders of the past
two decades, that he does not favour a UK withdrawal.
Cameron is seeking a raft of measures, including a bar on
non-British EU citizens claiming social security benefits even if they are
working in the United Kingdom – anathema to Brussels which sees it as a move
against its goal of a single European jobs market.
As changes to EU treaties require the unanimous support of
all member countries, Cameron may feel he has the leverage to get what he wants.
However European Governments might find a way round a British veto, possibly by
making arrangements among themselves without resort to EU law.
Such a path would be complicated and time-consuming and
would leave European leaders fuming at yet another example of British spoiling.
These is a growing feeling within the Brussels bureaucracy that that it would
be no bad thing if a referendum were to result in Britain’s exit.
“There is no doubt that the British attitude is hindering
European development,” a senior European Public Servant, who did not wish to be
named, told me. “They should decide once and for all – if in, play a full and
constructive part – if out, then they can negotiate some kind of arrangement
such as the Norwegians have but at least allow us to get on with our work.”
Cameron’s latest ‘get tough’ attitude is certainly
influenced by the rise in the polls of Ukip, formerly the United Kingdom
Independence Party, that is dedicated to seeking British withdrawal from
Europe. Its leader, Nigel Farage, is actually a Member of the European
Parliament in Strasbourg where he spends his time lambasting his fellow MEPs
and the European Commission as a bunch of worthless and expensive time-servers.
Cynics say that Cameron will call a referendum and blame
Ukip if the vote is for withdrawal – a massive act of cutting off the nose to
spite the face considering that a full 50 per cent of Britain’s trade is with
the EU.
The question should also be asked as to whether EU
membership is such a burning issue among the electorate - Even Ukip supporters
put it third behind the economy and law and order, while a previous referendum
on EU membership in 1974 saw a two-to-one vote in favour of staying in.
While Britons exercise their national pastime for grumbling
when it comes to the EU and will probably never agree to give up their beloved
pound in favour of the euro, the disadvantages of quitting will weigh heavily
when, and if, they are called to the ballot box to vote on the question.
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